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Sep 27, 2012
09/12
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john mccain himself says it starts with immigration. it's not the only you issue. but i think anna's quite right, how does a republican candidate run the gaunt let of a primary season in which the attacks from the right -- we saw it with meg whitman. she was determined to run in california with the republican party except for schwarzenegger has been out to pasture. but she got attacked by jerry poisoner in the primary, she brought out pete wilson, and she wanted to deport her nanny by the end of the election. [laughter] you know, the hispanic vote turned out in huge numbers for jerry brown. >> we could easily be having this conversation about the democratic difficulties among whites, right? it would totally change, as you were saying, if you had a candidate who was getting half the hispanic vote, be talking about why obama is likely to vote from 43% of whites, even slightly lower. but, you know, the republicans have set themselves a hurdle that is so high by allowing democrats to continue winning 80% of this growing population. the share of whites you have to win b
john mccain himself says it starts with immigration. it's not the only you issue. but i think anna's quite right, how does a republican candidate run the gaunt let of a primary season in which the attacks from the right -- we saw it with meg whitman. she was determined to run in california with the republican party except for schwarzenegger has been out to pasture. but she got attacked by jerry poisoner in the primary, she brought out pete wilson, and she wanted to deport her nanny by the end...
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Sep 29, 2012
09/12
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i wrote it with a great confidence that he was going to win and with the bold prediction that john mccain could not win the presidency. a great american but allows a republican and a terrible senator. and i was sadly correct. not only was he a terrible candid in the middle of the crisis, probably even the best gadgets could not have survived. a financial crisis with an incumbent president that was been wrongly at the seat of george bush in the republican party when it goes back to democratic house important -- but nevertheless i wrote in that book that romney would make a great presidential nominee. i didn't know who the nominee would be. it's not a book about romney. i was proven remarkably impressionable by the 2007 book. the dean of the columbia school of journalism. the new yorkers national political reporter and always the go to guy for national political stories. the profile the in 2005 for the new yorker. it was a very nice piece. he told his liberal democratic leaders, the most influential conservative you ever heard of. okay. [laughter] that's okay, i guess. i don't really speak
i wrote it with a great confidence that he was going to win and with the bold prediction that john mccain could not win the presidency. a great american but allows a republican and a terrible senator. and i was sadly correct. not only was he a terrible candid in the middle of the crisis, probably even the best gadgets could not have survived. a financial crisis with an incumbent president that was been wrongly at the seat of george bush in the republican party when it goes back to democratic...
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Sep 26, 2012
09/12
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if john mccain himself says a search of the immigration, not the only issue. quite right. how does the republican candidate run the gauntlet of a primary season in which the attack from the right, we saw it with my equipment, determined to run as a pro emigrant modern republican in california with the republican party. schwarzenegger has been out to pasture says pete wilson to demonize the latino population. he had attacked in the primary. she brought out pete wilson has said she will be tough as nails and one to deport our nanny by the end of the election. you know, the hispanic vote turned out in huge numbers for jerry brown who did very little to win their affection. >> inroads among minorities, we would be having a conversation about that demographic difficulties among whites. but as you were saying, if you have a candidate that will have the hispanic so we will be talking about why obama is likely to drop 43%, even some new or. you know, republicans have set themselves a hurdle that is so high by allowing democrats to continue 80 percent of the population a share of f
if john mccain himself says a search of the immigration, not the only issue. quite right. how does the republican candidate run the gauntlet of a primary season in which the attack from the right, we saw it with my equipment, determined to run as a pro emigrant modern republican in california with the republican party. schwarzenegger has been out to pasture says pete wilson to demonize the latino population. he had attacked in the primary. she brought out pete wilson has said she will be tough...
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Sep 26, 2012
09/12
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john mccain himself says it starts with immigration. i think he is quite right. how does a republican candidate run the gauntlet of a primary season. she was determined to run is a pro-immigrant moderate republican in california. republicans have set themselves a hurdle that is so high. 80% of the growing population, it becomes reaganesque. it is very hard for a nominee to match this every four years. the republicans do very well that is not true for hispanic republicans. i think it was really hard to run the gauntlet of the primary leicester in the short run. i have assimilated multiple generations and a lot of social issues, for example, a lot of topic changes, more recently religious, that is not always true. if you look at places like new mexico where you have hundreds of years of hispanic residents. moderation on those issues. so i think at any rate, it is very complicated and it's not a given. >> ron had said something about the hispanic unemployment rate. it is also true that when you look at the unemployment rate among african-americans come it has been h
john mccain himself says it starts with immigration. i think he is quite right. how does a republican candidate run the gauntlet of a primary season. she was determined to run is a pro-immigrant moderate republican in california. republicans have set themselves a hurdle that is so high. 80% of the growing population, it becomes reaganesque. it is very hard for a nominee to match this every four years. the republicans do very well that is not true for hispanic republicans. i think it was really...
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Sep 26, 2012
09/12
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bush, karl rove, john mccain. let's reach out to the hispanics and make reform something. it's become a party that mitt romney says there is a model he's promised a veto. the gerry before the radical policy prescription called deportation, the idea of making life so miserable here that immigrants are literally purged from the country so it's hurt badly but hispanics. the strategy, that strategy means as you point out in your excellent paper, really the southwest is out of reach in large part because of this. they've pulled off the mexico. they have a shot in colorado and nevada but if the turnout is high not much. so thankfully the hispanic strategy that the romney strategy has been let's talk about the economy. the cuban americans and puerto ricans and in hopes we can peel off just enough of them because maybe that will be the trick. the problem is in florida of the hispanic electorate has changed quite significantly. the fastest-growing group are dimond puerto rican latin american immigrants for whom immigration is a defining issue in a litmus test issue. roughly a third
bush, karl rove, john mccain. let's reach out to the hispanics and make reform something. it's become a party that mitt romney says there is a model he's promised a veto. the gerry before the radical policy prescription called deportation, the idea of making life so miserable here that immigrants are literally purged from the country so it's hurt badly but hispanics. the strategy, that strategy means as you point out in your excellent paper, really the southwest is out of reach in large part...
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Oct 2, 2012
10/12
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this is the brave man here current senator john mccain, republican. [applause] the mother teresa of the house and the senate of course and the the republican nominee for president. you have already met governor schwarzenegger. [applause] i tell governor schwarzenegger that in fact the contest for miss universe is considerably harder than mr. universe. [laughter] but he was a with former california governor and convene here at this wonderful the institute which will hold so much promise. former governor house member and member of the cabinet, tom ridge, republican from pennsylvania. [applause] also distinguished member of the military. and former house member governor and member of the cabinet democrat bill richardson of new mexico. [applause] i'm going to join these gentlemen now. i have to figure out which one is my chair. so, governor schwarzenegger, you talk about post partisanship. but i have come to think of it as post office by partisanship which is why i think you are the brave man here because senator daschle if you work with senator crist on
this is the brave man here current senator john mccain, republican. [applause] the mother teresa of the house and the senate of course and the the republican nominee for president. you have already met governor schwarzenegger. [applause] i tell governor schwarzenegger that in fact the contest for miss universe is considerably harder than mr. universe. [laughter] but he was a with former california governor and convene here at this wonderful the institute which will hold so much promise. former...
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Sep 26, 2012
09/12
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it means to be competitive in this race mitt romney would have to get double john mccain's margin of 18 points among the white working class and go up to 36 points. it doesn't change among minorities despite shifts eligible voters are seeing. if this gets realized minority vote share goes up a couple points from 26% in 2008 to 28% in 2012 and again the minority support stays the same it means mitt romney would have to get a 40 point margin of white working-class voters to win the election and popular vote. let's take a look at where we are based on a recent poll that came out and set the gold standard at the pew research center fold off and they do it right and have a 3,000 persons sampled. it is reliable and they give you a lot of interesting demographic breaks. this shows among likely voters that obama is leading by eight points. if you look at averages in the national polls is a bit high relative to the average which is 4 points. if you look at polls that do it right and call cellphones and not just robot called their up by five points. this is the distance of the averages and sim
it means to be competitive in this race mitt romney would have to get double john mccain's margin of 18 points among the white working class and go up to 36 points. it doesn't change among minorities despite shifts eligible voters are seeing. if this gets realized minority vote share goes up a couple points from 26% in 2008 to 28% in 2012 and again the minority support stays the same it means mitt romney would have to get a 40 point margin of white working-class voters to win the election and...